The encuestocracia again play a leading role in elections. Percentages of more or less, changes locations to each other, the one thing that all the polls agree on is that to eighteen days of the day "D", the difference between the first and fifth candidate is eight points, a difference laughable, a quintuple "dead heat" any of the five can reach the second round. intended Peru vote is volatile. We behave as women when it comes to dressing does not know that chachá wear. I, for one, always at this point my vote was set in March, I changed a couple of weeks apparently disillusioned by the overexposure of a candidate and encouraged by another has grown in the preference of the electorate. About five continue to compete after 10 April? In my humble opinion, a dirtier campaign than the predecessor, the core can be resolved as follows:
FIGHT: Your little charisma and lack of labia must be added its lack of transparency. El Mudo has failed to sprout at the forefront of accusations of embezzlement in the management building industry. Many question the oversight role of the village, but have to do it now, not when they can be elected president and enjoys immunity. Has fallen from 19% to 15% and appears that will plummet to fifth place. Who paradoxically lean campaign, according to all polls, appears unbeatable in the second round.
ALEJANDRO: Leader, like Lourdes Flores at the time of the intention to vote in November until today. His problem, like Lourdes Flores, is that he is his own enemy. Cholo poor when he speaks, the smearing. In December said something intelligent to the diatribes began to accumulate: For every attack, I will send a proposal (clear abuse of proposals could make it look like an improvised). However, in the coming weeks was devoted to answering attacks crudely, forgetting one essential lesson of political marketing: the leader should respond but never catch up attacks. El Cholo stepped on the stick and dropped a solid 28% to a worrying 23%. In the absence of two weeks, anything can happen. I myself was protoledista on the merits of his previous government (now my second choice). If Toledo does not care and makes another misstep, she can get out of the race.
PPK: jumped in two weeks from 6% to 15% and the trend is growing. According to marketers, success is mainly due to get moving, being in direct contact, the use of social networks, BTL's as the "ppcuy" to generate news before making a huge investment in mass media. I think also the slogan: Vote for the best , stalled and people start to believe it. I also decided to vote for him because out of the lobbies, I see it as a progressive candidate and well-intentioned, a technocrat, not a politician with experience that can raise the quality of life throughout the country. Account as soon as the sympathy of most of the sectors A, B and part of C. Lacks only grow in the D and E are the mass vote to decide an election. To revert to tinker with the Bolognese.
Ollanta: I thought at first that he lacked the strength of 2006 when he finished first in the First Round. I thought today in the best 15% reach and occupy the fourth place. Surveys show clearly that I was wrong. The retired commander is located with 17% preference with options to continue growing. Their spots and other advertising pieces are the ones I've liked this season. The left red polo has been changed to the top so reconciling white and he has managed to put aside their reactionary gossip for a speech solvent and able to discuss ideas. Nationalist measures have been stored in the closet. His social proposals sound some populist and solvent, razanoblemente. The vote for Humala does not seem as volatile as the PPK, Toledo Castaneda trio are fighting for the same profile of the electorate, creating a right fractional compared to a cohesive Left. The cuckoo can Runoff quiet.
KEIKO: Immovable in the second box, though some pollsters are bent on placing third. Fujimori's daughter, who wields a chamullo just learned, whose work as a congressman was very discreet, the good thing about flying fujimorato (Not to mention, of course, stinking), which only confirmed that it will do is to release his father and his cronies, including Vladi uncle who has threatened to "forget" the loyalty he has for his father if you forget it, "has as a strong vote of a mass convinced that Alberto Fujimori was the best thing that could happen to Peru. With 19% range from unchanged to the polls, no doubt also has a "hidden vote" that can be raised to 23%. Enough to enter the second round.
This picture makes me look with concern that the candidates to reach the second round are KEIKO and Ollanta and Rosette me the body into thinking that the daughter of a criminal-thief of millions and millions of dollars, can count on the very first choice to be president. Are we so stupid to allow Peruvians and historical outrage? I pray with all my heart wrong and that one of the two best options - PPK or TOLEDO - reach the second round. Strength to do it that way.
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