Encuestocracia : neologism whose literal meaning is "a national government through the polls," more about addressing public opinion to favor this or that candidate based on statistical percentages. If the media are the Fourth Estate, pollsters are the fifth. Ladies love and ideological preferences and trade. Results from a survey decide the validity or survival not only of political candidates, also the procurement of goods and services (in marketing call participation market) and the maintenance of various print media as well as certain programs on radio and television grids.
The National Jury of Elections does not have much credibility. The past municipal and regional elections caused many doubts about its neutrality. An important sector of the population thinks that there is some interference of the APRA party in the state. What has or not, I think the requirement of the JNE to the polls to show the identification of respondents, is a beneficial measure unfairly demonized by the major media groups, read Trade, some candidates and pollsters themselves.
The campaign to spread fear and mistrust had an unusual effect in our environment. In less than forty-eight hours known as the JNE had to be reversed and corrected, ensuring that the polls continue to conduct its work without being accountable to anyone. Personally I think they put together a snowstorm in summer.
The measure, already aborted, a contradiction to democracy, not fueling the possibility of fraud, nor threatened the freedom of speech of citizens. I do not think the measure was unconstitutional because it went against the political preferences of individuals. In a society free and mature, the demand for JNE ensured transparency of the polling company to be validated further, the results of their study of preference.
me explain. Suppose that the polling company X wants to do a survey is truly representative of the vote in Peru. Determining the sample size and is specified to be applied to two thousand people. JNE far all I did was verify that the two thousand surveys made on behalf of real people, to which they are asked to give your name, ID number and phone number for further demonstration that has been surveyed . Where is the intimidating, dictatorial or arbitrary about it? In addition, by scoring a home address could also validate the percentages to be applied to rural and urban areas to the cities, districts, regions and also to a possible segmentation by sex and age. What the hell's wrong or fraudulent! More transparency to ensure the work of the pollsters, impossible.
however, be useful idiots who added their voices to the propaganda of the media groups who were responsible for spreading panic without express convincingly why the move was undemocratic. Took care, however, of inciting the population to the concerns of a possible manipulation of results, a policy "Chavez" a distrust of the electoral process itself. It went so far as to drop the idea that the polls were banned!, The survey by Ipsos-Support February 13, would be the last allowed! Argument, of course, totally crazy, but quickly stalled in the fears of the population.
While in recent times, major polling firms have no reason to doubt their percentages, that does not mean that they are autonomous entities insujetables to any control or oversight. The media fears rather than propagate themselves from the time of Fujimori, had to analyze the pros of the measure, which was not ever on the defunct forehead, and collaborate in the task of transmitting confidence to the respondents in the moment to be addressed by the interviewers. Help educate and remove the head the wrong idea of \u200b\u200ba possible persecution or intimidation to issue a political opinion. If I'm correct, Peru with their mistakes, it still far from becoming a North Korea or a Taliban state.
The JNE already backed up and the rules remain as they are. The mistake was to try to adopt lacking a measure less than two months for the general election. To avoid suspicion in 2014, the legislation would be prudent to take about six months before releasing both an educational campaign to show that is guaranteed and there is no violation of freedom of opinion of the individual. In a democratic society no one can prosecute or punish for expressing their political or religious beliefs. That is true freedom.
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