ONE .- I've always wondered how foolish impulse pushes some candidates to continue in an election if polls are few or no possibilities to reach the position to which applying. Understand if their participation did not generate any cost, but in most cases not, be in campaign costs, and costs a lot-to bet on a chimera. I think that becoming a candidate must have a component that functions as a narcotic hallucinogen that clouds the candidates, the blinds to the point of losing touch with reality in terms of their probabilities. I know of no case where a candidate who claims not to believe in the polls and that he believes in what he says the street has won in a contest. DOS .- Last Sunday there was an unprecedented event, the resignation of a candidate for president, with three months of the war, live and direct, in a television program with more than twenty points for a hearing. I do not remember anything like that since democracy returned to Peru in 1980. With the resignation of Ms. Araoz, Peru lost the opportunity to have the first and only time a president . I do not claim it for machismo, but as a defender of the language. For cacasenos of APRA-Vargas Llosa in his best political moment dixit, that a woman becoming president is a president and not President article the above, as is the right use. All frustrated now campaign spots, murals and merchandising emphasized the brutality of "Meche president." Shit on the language is a misdemeanor for a party used to shit in the country and their own ideological principles.
THREE .- Mercedes Araoz I was convinced that until last week that it could be president of Peru. If last Sunday was finally decided to resign, after much bickering, is because I think that same day he learned how to march the polls, down from 5% to 4% with a tendency to keep losing preferences. The charm narcotic and psychotropic effect lost the nomination and had the perfect excuse to give up: the lack of independence and mobility to do things, reflected in the struggle for outrageous Del Castillo of the parliamentary list. For my taste, Meche take long to resign, moreover, was due not even by the APRA, but as better late than never, its image of flawless and successful woman, come to the surface of a rat hole, has been spotless.
FOUR .- is likely that in this situation, APRA does not present a presidential candidate, fulfilling, not believing predictor, a WO I glimpsed in February 2010 (see candidates for 2011 in this blog). Figure unpleasant as it is as if the champion does not qualify for the next football world to defend his title (and I am sure history would suffer a kicking in the jars). Velásquez Quesquén would be logical, the first vice presidential candidate, to take responsibility, but that would sacrifice his intention to reach a seat in Congress. In short, none of the dinosaurs from the star, except the threat of disciplinary proceedings and dismissal will be at risk of being off the list, not only for the five living at the expense of the Peruvians, but by the Cherished immunity The pound parliamentary lobbies and Pasadita trials of hand.
FIFTH .- With Meche in the race and reach 10% in the polls, was likely to tuck Apra twelve congressmen. They must now hope to get half as much. The only thing left for Alan, who never have liked the win because Araoz limited their personal desires to be re-elected in 2016, is in its old strategy of agreeing with or Catañeda Keiko, negotiating with two banks that have the minimum investigations against his regime with the promise that the next period, that probably gives cattle, he'll give them a little hand. While Alan Bayly had with the proposition that "money comes alone," the fact is that, as Rómulo León says, you still need your "aceitadita" and even better political alliances with your own kind to ensure impunity.
0 comments:
Post a Comment