Monday, October 4, 2010

Tight Chest, Cough, Short Breath

elections 2010: final conclusions

I like the election time. Era propaganda, Strife. Debate. Jingle. Dirty war. In an unusual dynamic in which the candidates down to the plains and come into contact with the dough. After the vote back to the ice age. Politics gets boring. People are dispassionate. The elect Ahués and lose contact with the public. The losers will resign and return to their winter quarters. Everything returns to the morass of ever. Shaken from time to time for a scandal or some corrupt ways. To live the excitement, I would like to have elections every year, but of course, is impossible. The municipal and regional authorities in Peru are like the World Cup is held every four years and coincide in the same year. This leaves me with the 2010 electoral process.


ACUÑA returned to beat the APRA in their own land (which is no more). Has not implemented any major work, but what little he has done in four years is more than the APRA has made in twenty. In his first television appearance, the flat gave vent to his megalomania and challenged Alan to see their faces in the general election of 2016. Little by little, flat. Little by little.
ALAN Protagonist all vote either as candidate or as guest of club. In 1986 he campaigned and won by Del Castillo. In 1990 he repeated the plate with Fujimori. This time, in the same election Sunday, Suresh on the prohibition of any kind of apology, the president asked the people to vote for the candidate who would ensure the continuity of the process (read Lourdes). However, it seems that this time, strong support came too late.
APP The A red began to spread nationwide. Consolidates its presence in the north with the regional president of Lambayeque Humberto Acuña and other district municipalities. In other regions has not won but has gained a significant presence. The apparatus to try a possible presidential election is oiled. Everything now depends on the candidate falls short of the circumstances.
APRA Compared to 2006, the party has recovered Estrella Trujillo winning presence in El Porvenir, Florencia de Mora, Simbal and Beans. In the region have won three mayoral: Ascope, Santiago de Chuco and Julcán, twelve and six regional directors. However, if they lose the regional presidency, the election result 2010 will be profoundly more painful than the last. Alan returns to mourn bitterly.
BAYLY medially stole the show at Lourdes and Susana. Silly, repetitive, and very vindictive rating. As a journalist was right to disseminate the potoaudios and push the issue Catano but it was wrong to behave as ayayero and to some extent Sobon. For more than hold that the village was also the target of his criticism, it is clear that she was no longer the caustic journalist and became his squire and public relations.
exit polls Its use is questioned. Critics say, creates uneasiness and false expectations which can lead to questioning and violence. Its proponents believe it is a good indicator when taken responsibly on 5% margin of error. I do believe it is necessary. Alarm is a fraud. The claim of Toledo and the outrage would not have had the same hold if the exit polls are not assigned a lead of seven points out of Fujimori in 2000.
Cassinelli If you ever compared it with Ross Perot was not because he was a millionaire or because represent a good choice, I compared him to eternal loser. Perhaps if he had used as the candidate of Social Forces the image of Susan in her campaign could pick up something, at least more than the paltry 3.6% gave the electorate by putting it in fourth place. I do not think she has an urge to try in 2014.
CASTAÑEDA Mayor of few words who did show their support Lulu. Resources and used city employees to hang a banner on the anti-Villarán Expressway. More than sympathy or ideological affinity, the fear of the outgoing mayor, supposedly, is that Susan could explore his works and budgets while Lourdes could ignore. An accusation of this caliber would collapse his presidential aspirations.
CATAÑO called Adolfo Carhuallanqui stopped to break away from his past with drugs and build a future in the same area. Active whitening exported used cars and buying founded Peruvian Airlines planes with no cash and leasing. Had the services of a lawyer to whom you paid a million suns and was president of the airline. Today he is a fugitive from justice. Is unlikely to fall prey to it again to defend Lourdes.
FINAL PHOTO: term used in horse racing or track testing where effectively turn a photo shoot to define in a hotly contested race who crossed the finish line first. Talk about a 38.4% to 37.6% Susana against Lourdes is actually a photo finish. Murgia 38.3% against 36.4% of Llempen says a second round of prognosis.
DIRTY WAR demolition campaigns Worst I've ever seen have been orchestrated by the press 'orange' of Montesinos in 1999-2000 against Castañeda and Andrade, Vargas Llosa in 1990 and the current campaign against Susan. Accused of being a communist, terrorist, anti-progressive, espantainversiones, SUTEP patriarrojista, strikes, burning tires etc, the poor was about to be devoured by this maelstrom of lies and misinformation. The strategy to remain silent about these attacks could cost him the election outlaws.
HELICOPTERS Alex Gonzales was a nobody. United always match born in Los Olivos convicted of first impression to be as much in the fourth or fifth location and then disappear. America has always been four districts of Lima. Not bad for his first nomination. Gonzales promised to helicopters and heliports in fenced lot or slab sporting a considerable 3%. I can not imagine how much would have obtained promising fighter.
Kouri His past Montesinos convicted. While race was never a real threat to Lourdes. Hardly have gone from 25%. Gossips say that APRA labeled him the victory for looser Lulu. Never imagined that such votes golondrinos Susan would go for that 5% had no aspirations to much. If the CPP are smart, APRA never receive favors.
LOURDES At this point political corpse. I never picture the idea of \u200b\u200bplaying in second division. She was for presidential else to mess it poto. I voted for her in 2001 and 2006 when Alan, his now ally, ate it with shoes and all. On his third attempt he finally got his master's loser. A pity. Good candidate as was his mentor Lucho Bedoya, product but a lousy politician. I doubt that employers who supported it, except Cataño, re-invest in his candidacy in the future. Best, may he rest in peace.
MARISA GWash Personally the biggest surprise. My outsider. The fresh figure finally convinced that Susan is the voice. Marisa is young. Not a great beauty but it's pretty nice. Lucianitas Leon reminds me of the campaign of Alan but I think it infinitely better prepared. The girl exudes intelligence. Today is councilor of Lima. Tomorrow is going to give more than talk.
BOARD MEMBER Being a member of a work table is not so bad. I went in 2006 municipal and in the future it would be. 99.9% of Peruvians hate drawn out as such. More than 50% will use any excuse not to meet if civic duty. This time I got to vote at 11:30 am and I surprised to be 63 ° of the line. Then I found my desk recently was installed at 9:30 am. None of the members had attended. Some of the first that caught the ONPE not accept, preferring to pay the fine rather than lose all day Sunday. M enos bad it was cold and there was sun When I left at about 1:45 pm, there were still about sixty without a vote.
never ONPE before had taken so long to make progress. The body normally releases its first bulletin at 8:00 pm. This time, the first report was given by Magdalena Chu at 10:30 pm and only 12%! when they did prior to 20%. This, of course generates suspicions. Hypothetically could be a fraud because of the narrowness of the result. At this time, however, we are 72% of records processed and maintained the 0.8% difference between Susan and Lourdes. Except prodigy Lord of the Miracles or APRA to table a bitch, I doubt that this figure may be reversed.
PPK Manager governance of Toledo, the type never win a call for sympathy but it is undeniable that knows your chamba. Now, I do not understand how he could predict that the election of Susan would frighten foreign investment and the market turns. I do not understand how a mayor who is basically the manager of a city can have input in the national economic management. I can not explain. Maybe he likes playing flute is a thermometer of the art market.
POTOAUDIO Lulu argument to be the victim. Although it was a blatant offense to invade your privacy, you can not deny either that it was clear his contempt for the post you are applying. Its double standards on the dissemination of audio was demonstrated when Mariella Balbi endorsed audio spreading 'private' where she produces slitting of Bayly. In these times of free chuponeo be careful because even potos have ears.
SALAVERRY pulled more votes than expected. His team was able to silence their irregularities in the track Techo Propio (which might be lapidary) and knew Acuña attack in the last week with allegations of its budget compared to that of Murgia, his absenteeism and his unfortunate promise that only graduates of UCV occupy the offices of the municipality. Had had more time to crush these data might have perhaps reverse the result.
JOIN Salaverry Acuña and managed to pass the 40%, Alban Rodriguez was third with a very poor 5%. Join lost El Porvenir was his stronghold in Trujillo. Sánchez Carrión won, Viru and Gran Chimu, but lost his stronghold Otuzco was regional. He is four years to find more charismatic candidate or another party otherwise be doomed.
SUSANA Kouris absence of good is Susan. The aunt of the beautiful green scarf and smile must become, if there is fraud under the table, the first elected mayor of Lima. The funny thing is that all those who today accuse it of red union terrucos tomorrow silenced their critics when they see that administers a city similar to Lourdes because if they are not aware of government plans of both are similar. As stated in The Leopard of Lampedussa: have to change everything so that nothing changes .

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